Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Once Caldas vs Millonarios

Once Caldas vs Millonarios prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-06-09 01:20
Once Caldas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Millonarios
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
26%
2
32%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Once Caldas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate52%

Millonarios (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Once Caldas
DWDWL
Millonarios
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 74%
35% +1.5 39%
17% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Once Caldas averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Millonarios averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Once Caldas(A) 0 - 0 Millonarios Draw
Jun 2025 Once Caldas(A) 2 - 2 Millonarios Draw
Jun 2025 Once Caldas 0 - 0 Millonarios Draw
May 2025 Once Caldas 2 - 2 Millonarios Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Once Caldas won 0, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Once Caldas — unbeaten run (home)2
Once Caldas — scoring streak (home)6
Millonarios — winless run (away)0
Millonarios — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Once Caldas Win (1)42%
Draw (X)26%
Millonarios Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 74%
35% +1.5 39%
17% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 26%
65% -1.5 61%
83% -2.5 96%
96% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Once Caldas vs Millonarios — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Once Caldas — scored (home)1.48
Once Caldas — conceded (home)1.13
Millonarios — scored (away)1.17
Millonarios — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Once Caldas — BTTS matches (home)52%
Millonarios — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Once Caldas (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Millonarios (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6
Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Once Caldas (home)

For3.2

Millonarios (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Once Caldas — total shots (home)14.6
Millonarios — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Once Caldas — on target (home)5.3
Millonarios — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Once Caldas xG (home)0.94
Millonarios xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

49.73% Possession 51.83%

Team Comparison Once Caldas vs Millonarios

81.02% Pass accuracy 80.8%
358.62 Passes per match 372.59
0 Goals prevented 0
11.36 Fouls committed 11.65
3.64 Goalkeeper saves 2.78
2.43 Offsides 1.8
12.47 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Once Caldas vs Millonarios prediction analysis

Review Once Caldas vs Millonarios with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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