Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Operario-PR vs Avai

Operario-PR vs Avai prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-16 14:00
Operario-PR
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Avai
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Operario-PR (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Avai (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Operario-PR
LWDWW
Avai
WDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
67% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Operario-PR averages 2 goals scored at home, while Avai averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Operario-PR 0 - 0 Avai Draw
Apr 2025 Operario-PR(A) 0 - 1 Avai Away
Aug 2024 Operario-PR(A) 0 - 1 Avai Away
Apr 2024 Operario-PR 1 - 0 Avai Home
Oct 2021 Operario-PR 2 - 1 Avai Home

In the last 5 meetings, Operario-PR won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Operario-PR — unbeaten run (home)3
Operario-PR — scoring streak (home)3
Avai — winless run (away)4
Avai — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Operario-PR Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Avai Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
67% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
33% -1.5 75%
67% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Operario-PR vs Avai — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Operario-PR — scored (home)2
Operario-PR — conceded (home)1
Avai — scored (away)1
Avai — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Operario-PR — BTTS matches (home)67%
Avai — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Operario-PR (home)

Corners for7.7
Corners against4.7

Avai (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Operario-PR
14 12 8 12 5
Avai
11 8 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Operario-PR (home)

For1.3

Avai (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.37

Operario-PR

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.31
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.89

Avai

Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots10.06
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.40

Shots per Game

Operario-PR — total shots (home)16.7
Avai — total shots (away)5.5

Shots on Target

Operario-PR — on target (home)5.0
Avai — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Operario-PR

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box7.43

Avai

Inside the box4.17
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Operario-PR

Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Cuenú
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Boschilia
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Hildeberto Pereira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Vinícius Mingotti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Avai

Daniel Penha
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target50%
Wesley Gasolina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Jean Lucas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
William Fernando
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Wallison
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Operario-PR xG (home)1.5
Avai xG (away)0.83

Average Possession

49.71% Possession 45.71%

Team Comparison Operario-PR vs Avai

83.34% Pass accuracy 79.63%
363.57 Passes per match 374
-0.19 Goals prevented -0.6
15.29 Fouls committed 12
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1.43 Offsides 2.33
9.83 Tackles per match 13.71

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Operario-PR vs Avai prediction and preview

Preview Operario-PR vs Avai with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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