Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Operario-PR vs São Bernardo

Operario-PR vs São Bernardo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-07 22:30
Operario-PR
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
São Bernardo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
22%
2
17%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Operario-PR (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

São Bernardo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Operario-PR
WDWWW
São Bernardo
LDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 0%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Operario-PR averages 2 goals scored at home, while São Bernardo averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Operario-PR — unbeaten run (home)3
Operario-PR — scoring streak (home)3
São Bernardo — winless run (away)3
São Bernardo — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Operario-PR Win (1)61%
Draw (X)22%
São Bernardo Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 0%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
33% -1.5 100%
67% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Operario-PR vs São Bernardo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Operario-PR — scored (home)2
Operario-PR — conceded (home)1
São Bernardo — scored (away)0.67
São Bernardo — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Operario-PR — BTTS matches (home)67%
São Bernardo — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)67%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Operario-PR (home)

Corners for7.7
Corners against4.7

São Bernardo (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Operario-PR
10 13 12 8 12
São Bernardo
9 12 13 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Operario-PR (home)

For1.3

São Bernardo (away)

For3.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.85

Operario-PR

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.18
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.65

São Bernardo

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.66
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.81

Shots per Game

Operario-PR — total shots (home)16.7
São Bernardo — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Operario-PR — on target (home)5.0
São Bernardo — on target (away)6.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Operario-PR

Inside the box7.6
Outside the box7.6

São Bernardo

Inside the box5.17
Outside the box7.17

Player Shots Operario-PR

Boschilia
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Cuenú
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Hildeberto Pereira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Vinícius Diniz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots São Bernardo

Echaporã
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Hyoran
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Eduardo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Rodrigo Ferreira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Operario-PR xG (home)1.51
São Bernardo xG (away)0.77

Average Possession

49.8% Possession 58%

Team Comparison Operario-PR vs São Bernardo

82.09% Pass accuracy 86%
345 Passes per match 488.5
0.01 Goals prevented -0.25
16.2 Fouls committed 11.5
4.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.17
1.4 Offsides 2.6
10.4 Tackles per match 9.83

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Operario-PR vs São Bernardo prediction analysis

Review Operario-PR vs São Bernardo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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