Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Major League Soccer 2026-08-15 23:30
Orlando City SC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Cincinnati
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
23%
2
31%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Orlando City SC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.44
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate78%

FC Cincinnati (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Orlando City SC
WWLLL
FC Cincinnati
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 79%
50% +1.5 37%
44% +2.5 21%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
78% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Orlando City SC averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while FC Cincinnati averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
23%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Orlando City SC(A) 1 - 1 FC Cincinnati Draw
Jun 2025 Orlando City SC 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Away
Oct 2024 Orlando City SC(A) 3 - 1 FC Cincinnati Home
May 2024 Orlando City SC 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati Away
Sep 2023 Orlando City SC(A) 1 - 0 FC Cincinnati Home

In the last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Orlando City SC — unbeaten run (home)1
Orlando City SC — scoring streak (home)14
FC Cincinnati — winless run (away)2
FC Cincinnati — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Orlando City SC Win (1)45%
Draw (X)23%
FC Cincinnati Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 79%
50% +1.5 37%
44% +2.5 21%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 21%
50% -1.5 63%
56% -2.5 79%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Orlando City SC — scored (home)2.06
Orlando City SC — conceded (home)1.44
FC Cincinnati — scored (away)1.37
FC Cincinnati — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Orlando City SC — BTTS matches (home)78%
FC Cincinnati — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Orlando City SC (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.0

FC Cincinnati (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Orlando City SC
7 10 6 5 5
FC Cincinnati
11 13 6 4 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Orlando City SC (home)

For2.3

FC Cincinnati (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots25.96

Orlando City SC

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.71
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.15

FC Cincinnati

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.25
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.21

Shots per Game

Orlando City SC — total shots (home)16.2
FC Cincinnati — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Orlando City SC — on target (home)5.8
FC Cincinnati — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Orlando City SC

Inside the box10.43
Outside the box5.46

FC Cincinnati

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box5.68

Player Shots Orlando City SC

Rafael Santos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Ojeda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
L. Muriel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Marco Pasalic
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target26%
R. Enrique
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots FC Cincinnati

Evander
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target49%
Brenner
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
G. Valenzuela
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Denkey
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target38%
Y. Kubo
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target24%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando City SC xG (home)1.76
FC Cincinnati xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

47.69% Possession 48.29%

Team Comparison Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati

84.74% Pass accuracy 83.53%
438.46 Passes per match 449.63
0.06 Goals prevented 0.19
10.66 Fouls committed 10.21
3.34 Goalkeeper saves 3.11
1.62 Offsides 1.68
14.26 Tackles per match 15.33

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati prediction and preview

Preview Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top