Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-25 23:30
Orlando City SC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nashville SC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
22%
2
27%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Orlando City SC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.12
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate82%

Nashville SC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Orlando City SC
WLLLD
Nashville SC
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 32%
47% +2.5 11%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
82% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Orlando City SC averages 2.12 goals scored at home, while Nashville SC averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Orlando City SC 3 - 2 Nashville SC Home
Aug 2025 Orlando City SC(A) 1 - 5 Nashville SC Away
May 2025 Orlando City SC 2 - 3 Nashville SC Away
Aug 2024 Orlando City SC 3 - 0 Nashville SC Home
Jul 2024 Orlando City SC(A) 3 - 0 Nashville SC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Orlando City SC — unbeaten run (home)0
Orlando City SC — scoring streak (home)13
Nashville SC — winless run (away)9
Nashville SC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Orlando City SC Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Nashville SC Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 32%
47% +2.5 11%
18% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 68%
53% -2.5 89%
82% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Orlando City SC — scored (home)2.12
Orlando City SC — conceded (home)1.53
Nashville SC — scored (away)1.21
Nashville SC — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals3.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Orlando City SC — BTTS matches (home)82%
Nashville SC — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Orlando City SC (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.0

Nashville SC (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Orlando City SC
14 7 10 6 5
Nashville SC
7 8 6 6 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Orlando City SC (home)

For2.3

Nashville SC (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.25

Orlando City SC

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.16
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.13

Nashville SC

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.09
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.94

Shots per Game

Orlando City SC — total shots (home)16.2
Nashville SC — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Orlando City SC — on target (home)5.8
Nashville SC — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Orlando City SC

Inside the box10.43
Outside the box5.46

Nashville SC

Inside the box9.38
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Orlando City SC

Rafael Santos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Ojeda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
L. Muriel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Marco Pasalic
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target26%
R. Enrique
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Nashville SC

H. Mukhtar
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target58%
S. Surridge
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target45%
A. Najar
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target5%
J. Shaffelburg
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
P. Yazbek
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando City SC xG (home)1.76
Nashville SC xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

47.69% Possession 50.41%

Team Comparison Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC

84.74% Pass accuracy 85.15%
438.46 Passes per match 466.65
0.06 Goals prevented 0.19
10.66 Fouls committed 13.76
3.34 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.62 Offsides 2.11
14.26 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC prediction analysis

Review Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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