What markets are included in the Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-15 17:00

Osasuna

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Atletico Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

27%

39%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Osasuna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate74%

Atletico Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Osasuna

DWWDL

Atletico Madrid

WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

74% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Osasuna averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

27%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Osasuna 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid Away

Oct 2025 Osasuna(A) 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

May 2025 Osasuna 2 - 0 Atletico Madrid Home

Jan 2025 Osasuna(A) 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

May 2024 Osasuna(A) 4 - 1 Atletico Madrid Home

In the last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Osasuna — unbeaten run (home)4

Osasuna — scoring streak (home)19

Atletico Madrid — winless run (away)0

Atletico Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Osasuna Win (1)35%

Draw (X)27%

Atletico Madrid Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 26%

47% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 84%

95% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 95%

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Osasuna — scored (home)1.74

Osasuna — conceded (home)1.21

Atletico Madrid — scored (away)1.37

Atletico Madrid — conceded (away)0.79

Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Osasuna — BTTS matches (home)74%

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.540%

Under 8.560%

Over 9.524%

Under 9.576%

Over 10.521%

Under 10.579%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Osasuna (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against3.9

Atletico Madrid (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Osasuna

10 13 8 14 14

Atletico Madrid

8 6 8 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Osasuna (home)

For2.4

Atletico Madrid (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Osasuna — total shots (home)12.3

Atletico Madrid — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Osasuna — on target (home)4.3

Atletico Madrid — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Osasuna

Inside the box7.92

Outside the box3.08

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box8.45

Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Osasuna

Jorge Herrando

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Budimir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target26%

Aimar Oroz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Catena

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Raúl García

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target26%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target24%

Robin Le Normand

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

C. Gallagher

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna xG (home)1.18

Atletico Madrid xG (away)1.73

Average Possession

45.95% Possession 52.53%

Team Comparison Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid

77.71% Pass accuracy 84.61%

372.89 Passes per match 518.08

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.02

13.34 Fouls committed 10.84

3.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.32

1.76 Offsides 2.12

16.21 Tackles per match 16.29

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Review Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights