Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Osasuna vs Espanyol

Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-18 17:00
Osasuna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Espanyol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Osasuna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Osasuna
DWWDL
Espanyol
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Osasuna averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Osasuna 1 - 2 Espanyol Away
Aug 2025 Osasuna(A) 0 - 1 Espanyol Away
May 2025 Osasuna 2 - 0 Espanyol Home
Dec 2024 Osasuna(A) 0 - 0 Espanyol Draw
Feb 2023 Osasuna(A) 1 - 1 Espanyol Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Osasuna — unbeaten run (home)4
Osasuna — scoring streak (home)19
Espanyol — winless run (away)4
Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Osasuna Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Espanyol Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 37%
47% -1.5 84%
84% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Osasuna vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Osasuna — scored (home)1.74
Osasuna — conceded (home)1.21
Espanyol — scored (away)0.89
Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Osasuna — BTTS matches (home)74%
Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Osasuna (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.9

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Osasuna
10 13 8 14 14
Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Osasuna (home)

For2.4

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Osasuna — total shots (home)12.3
Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Osasuna — on target (home)4.3
Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Osasuna

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box3.08

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Osasuna

Jorge Herrando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target26%
Aimar Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Catena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna xG (home)1.18
Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

45.95% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Osasuna vs Espanyol

77.71% Pass accuracy 76.58%
372.89 Passes per match 328.29
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.04
13.34 Fouls committed 13.11
3.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
1.76 Offsides 1.74
16.21 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Osasuna vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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