Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Osasuna vs Getafe

Osasuna vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-10-03 19:00
Osasuna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Getafe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
26%
2
16%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Osasuna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Osasuna
LLLLL
Getafe
WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Osasuna averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
26%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Osasuna(A) 0 - 1 Getafe Away
Oct 2025 Osasuna 2 - 1 Getafe Home
Mar 2025 Osasuna 1 - 2 Getafe Away
Oct 2024 Osasuna(A) 1 - 1 Getafe Draw
Jan 2024 Osasuna 3 - 2 Getafe Home

In the last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Osasuna — unbeaten run (home)0
Osasuna — scoring streak (home)19
Getafe — winless run (away)2
Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Osasuna Win (1)58%
Draw (X)26%
Getafe Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Osasuna vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Osasuna — scored (home)1.63
Osasuna — conceded (home)1.26
Getafe — scored (away)0.74
Getafe — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Osasuna — BTTS matches (home)74%
Getafe — BTTS matches (away)26%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Osasuna (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Osasuna
10 16 12 11 6
Getafe
5 10 6 4 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Osasuna (home)

For2.3

Getafe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Osasuna — total shots (home)14.8
Getafe — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Osasuna — on target (home)5.3
Getafe — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Osasuna

Inside the box8.29
Outside the box3.55

Getafe

Inside the box5.58
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Osasuna

A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Víctor Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target29%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
Rubén García
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target3%
Lucas Torró
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Getafe

M. Satriano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target8%
Borja Mayoral
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
Adrian Liso
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna xG (home)1.21
Getafe xG (away)0.79

Average Possession

46.84% Possession 40.08%

Team Comparison Osasuna vs Getafe

78.97% Pass accuracy 68.08%
386.37 Passes per match 286.84
0.07 Goals prevented 0.08
13.47 Fouls committed 15.21
3.3 Goalkeeper saves 3.11
1.5 Offsides 2.39
14.5 Tackles per match 18.05

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Osasuna vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Osasuna vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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