Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-24 17:00
Osasuna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sevilla
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
32%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Osasuna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Osasuna
DWWDL
Sevilla
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 74%
53% +1.5 42%
16% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Osasuna averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Osasuna 2 - 1 Sevilla Home
Nov 2025 Osasuna(A) 0 - 1 Sevilla Away
Apr 2025 Osasuna 1 - 0 Sevilla Home
Dec 2024 Osasuna(A) 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw
Jan 2024 Osasuna(A) 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Osasuna — unbeaten run (home)4
Osasuna — scoring streak (home)19
Sevilla — winless run (away)5
Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Osasuna Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
Sevilla Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 74%
53% +1.5 42%
16% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 26%
47% -1.5 58%
84% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Osasuna vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Osasuna — scored (home)1.74
Osasuna — conceded (home)1.21
Sevilla — scored (away)1.32
Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Osasuna — BTTS matches (home)74%
Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Osasuna (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.9

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Osasuna
10 13 8 14 14
Sevilla
10 9 6 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Osasuna (home)

For2.4

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Osasuna — total shots (home)12.3
Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Osasuna — on target (home)4.3
Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Osasuna

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box3.08

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45
Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Osasuna

Jorge Herrando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target26%
Aimar Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Catena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Jesús Navas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
Kike Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target26%
Juanlu Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna xG (home)1.18
Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

45.95% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Osasuna vs Sevilla

77.71% Pass accuracy 81.82%
372.89 Passes per match 432.63
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.07
13.34 Fouls committed 13
3.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.76 Offsides 2.06
16.21 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Osasuna vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Osasuna vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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