Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Osasuna vs Valencia

Osasuna vs Valencia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
La Liga 2025-08-24 15:00
Osasuna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Valencia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
26%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Osasuna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Valencia (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Osasuna
LLLLL
Valencia
WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Osasuna averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Valencia averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Osasuna(A) 0 - 1 Valencia Away
Aug 2025 Osasuna 1 - 0 Valencia Home
Mar 2025 Osasuna 3 - 3 Valencia Draw
Sep 2024 Osasuna(A) 0 - 0 Valencia Draw
Apr 2024 Osasuna 0 - 1 Valencia Away

In the last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Osasuna — unbeaten run (home)0
Osasuna — scoring streak (home)19
Valencia — winless run (away)0
Valencia — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Osasuna Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Valencia Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 32%
47% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Osasuna vs Valencia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Osasuna — scored (home)1.63
Osasuna — conceded (home)1.26
Valencia — scored (away)1
Valencia — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Osasuna — BTTS matches (home)74%
Valencia — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Osasuna (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8

Valencia (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Osasuna
10 16 12 11 6
Valencia
8 18 6 5 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Osasuna (home)

For2.3

Valencia (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Osasuna — total shots (home)14.8
Valencia — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Osasuna — on target (home)5.3
Valencia — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Osasuna

Inside the box8.29
Outside the box3.55

Valencia

Inside the box7.68
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Osasuna

A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target38%
Víctor Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target29%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
Rubén García
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target3%
Lucas Torró
Shots on Target/Game0.2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Valencia

L. Ramazani
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target11%
U. Sadiq
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Danjuma
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Hugo Duro
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Diakhaby
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna xG (home)1.21
Valencia xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

46.84% Possession 47.63%

Team Comparison Osasuna vs Valencia

78.97% Pass accuracy 80.71%
386.37 Passes per match 405.92
0.07 Goals prevented -0.08
13.47 Fouls committed 12.08
3.3 Goalkeeper saves 2.86
1.5 Offsides 1.76
14.5 Tackles per match 15.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Osasuna vs Valencia prediction analysis

Review Osasuna vs Valencia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top