Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oviedo vs Celta Vigo

Oviedo vs Celta Vigo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-12-20 13:00
Oviedo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Celta Vigo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
16%
X
27%
2
56%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Oviedo (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%

Celta Vigo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Oviedo
LLLDL
Celta Vigo
WDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 84%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
26% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

Oviedo averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Celta Vigo averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
16%
Draw
27%
Away Win
56%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Oviedo(A) 3 - 0 Celta Vigo Home
Dec 2025 Oviedo 0 - 0 Celta Vigo Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Oviedo won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Oviedo — unbeaten run (home)0
Oviedo — scoring streak (home)0
Celta Vigo — winless run (away)1
Celta Vigo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oviedo Win (1)16%
Draw (X)27%
Celta Vigo Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 84%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 16%
100% -1.5 68%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Oviedo vs Celta Vigo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oviedo — scored (home)0.47
Oviedo — conceded (home)0.95
Celta Vigo — scored (away)1.26
Celta Vigo — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

Oviedo — BTTS matches (home)26%
Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oviedo (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.8

Celta Vigo (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Oviedo
9 10 9 7 10
Celta Vigo
6 10 8 5 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Oviedo (home)

For2.2

Celta Vigo (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Oviedo — total shots (home)10.2
Celta Vigo — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Oviedo — on target (home)3.1
Celta Vigo — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oviedo

Inside the box6.37
Outside the box3.55

Celta Vigo

Inside the box6.55
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Oviedo

I. Chaira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
F. Viñas
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Rondón
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%
Alberto Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Celta Vigo

Ferran Jutglà
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Borja Iglesias
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target20%
Bryan Zaragoza
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
Pablo Durán
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
W. Swedberg
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oviedo xG (home)0.95
Celta Vigo xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

46.03% Possession 50.42%

Team Comparison Oviedo vs Celta Vigo

80.89% Pass accuracy 85.47%
390.76 Passes per match 497.66
0.03 Goals prevented 0.06
12.47 Fouls committed 11.68
4.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.97
2.23 Offsides 2.17
17.79 Tackles per match 14.26

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oviedo vs Celta Vigo prediction analysis

Review Oviedo vs Celta Vigo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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