Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oviedo vs Granada CF

Oviedo vs Granada CF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00
Oviedo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Oviedo
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Granada CF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
27%
2
25%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Oviedo (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Granada CF (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Granada CF
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 71%
0% +1.5 33%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Oviedo averages 0 goals scored at home, while Granada CF averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Oviedo(A) 0 - 1 Granada CF Away
Dec 2024 Oviedo 2 - 0 Granada CF Home
Mar 2023 Oviedo(A) 0 - 1 Granada CF Away
Dec 2022 Oviedo 1 - 0 Granada CF Home
Nov 2022 Oviedo 1 - 0 Granada CF Home

In the last 5 meetings, Oviedo won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Granada CF — winless run (away)2
Granada CF — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oviedo Win (1)48%
Draw (X)27%
Granada CF Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 71%
0% +1.5 33%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 29%
100% -1.5 67%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Oviedo vs Granada CF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oviedo — scored (home)0
Oviedo — conceded (home)0
Granada CF — scored (away)1.05
Granada CF — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Oviedo — BTTS matches (home)0%
Granada CF — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)24%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oviedo (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Granada CF (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Granada CF
14 5 8 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.548%
Under 1.552%
Over 2.543%
Under 2.557%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Oviedo (home)

For—

Granada CF (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.37

Oviedo

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.21
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.46

Granada CF

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.17
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.38

Shots per Game

Oviedo — total shots (home)—
Granada CF — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Oviedo — on target (home)—
Granada CF — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oviedo

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Granada CF

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Oviedo

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Granada CF

B. Diallo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target3%
+1.5 On Target3%
Jorge Pascual
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
I. Gonzalez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
B. Diocou
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Faye
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oviedo xG (home)-
Granada CF xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

-% Possession 49.86%

Team Comparison Oviedo vs Granada CF

0% Pass accuracy 80.83%
- Passes per match 368.33
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 12.76
- Goalkeeper saves 2.64
- Offsides 2.58
- Tackles per match 16.38

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oviedo vs Granada CF prediction analysis

Review Oviedo vs Granada CF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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