Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oviedo vs Leganes

Oviedo vs Leganes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-23 15:00
Oviedo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Oviedo
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Leganes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
28%
2
25%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Oviedo (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Leganes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes
WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 62%
0% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Oviedo averages 0 goals scored at home, while Leganes averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2024 Oviedo 1 - 0 Leganes Home
Oct 2023 Oviedo(A) 0 - 0 Leganes Draw
Mar 2023 Oviedo(A) 1 - 0 Leganes Home
Aug 2022 Oviedo 1 - 0 Leganes Home
Apr 2022 Oviedo 1 - 0 Leganes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Oviedo won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Leganes — winless run (away)10
Leganes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oviedo Win (1)47%
Draw (X)28%
Leganes Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 62%
0% +1.5 29%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 38%
100% -1.5 71%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Oviedo vs Leganes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oviedo — scored (home)0
Oviedo — conceded (home)0
Leganes — scored (away)0.95
Leganes — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals2.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Oviedo — BTTS matches (home)0%
Leganes — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)28.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oviedo (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Leganes (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes
11 8 10 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.548%
Under 2.552%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Oviedo (home)

For—

Leganes (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.47

Oviedo

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.25
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.38

Leganes

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.22
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.41

Shots per Game

Oviedo — total shots (home)—
Leganes — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Oviedo — on target (home)—
Leganes — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oviedo

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Leganes

Inside the box7.52
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Oviedo

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Leganes

Miguel de la Fuente
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Álex Millán
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Carlos Guirao
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Cissé
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target3%
Duk
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oviedo xG (home)-
Leganes xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

-% Possession 51.43%

Team Comparison Oviedo vs Leganes

0% Pass accuracy 79.15%
- Passes per match 397.43
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 12.69
- Goalkeeper saves 3.12
- Offsides 1.79
- Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oviedo vs Leganes prediction analysis

Review Oviedo vs Leganes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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