Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oviedo vs Mallorca

Oviedo vs Mallorca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-12-05 20:00
Oviedo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Mallorca
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
27%
2
40%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Oviedo (Home)

Goals scored / match0.47
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%

Mallorca (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Oviedo
LLLDL
Mallorca
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 63%
0% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
26% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Oviedo averages 0.47 goals scored at home, while Mallorca averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Oviedo(A) 0 - 3 Mallorca Away
Dec 2025 Oviedo 0 - 0 Mallorca Draw
Mar 2021 Oviedo(A) 0 - 0 Mallorca Draw
Jan 2021 Oviedo 2 - 2 Mallorca Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Oviedo won 0, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Oviedo — unbeaten run (home)0
Oviedo — scoring streak (home)0
Mallorca — winless run (away)2
Mallorca — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oviedo Win (1)33%
Draw (X)27%
Mallorca Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 63%
0% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 37%
100% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Oviedo vs Mallorca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oviedo — scored (home)0.47
Oviedo — conceded (home)0.95
Mallorca — scored (away)0.84
Mallorca — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Oviedo — BTTS matches (home)26%
Mallorca — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oviedo (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.8

Mallorca (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Oviedo
9 10 9 7 10
Mallorca
7 9 6 10 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Oviedo (home)

For2.2

Mallorca (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Oviedo — total shots (home)10.2
Mallorca — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Oviedo — on target (home)3.1
Mallorca — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oviedo

Inside the box6.37
Outside the box3.55

Mallorca

Inside the box7.29
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Oviedo

I. Chaira
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
F. Viñas
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Rondón
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%
Alberto Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Zito Luvumbo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
Jan Virgili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target10%
Samú Costa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oviedo xG (home)0.95
Mallorca xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

46.03% Possession 47%

Team Comparison Oviedo vs Mallorca

80.89% Pass accuracy 79.79%
390.76 Passes per match 397.13
0.03 Goals prevented 0.02
12.47 Fouls committed 12.29
4.11 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
2.23 Offsides 1.43
17.79 Tackles per match 14.74

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oviedo vs Mallorca prediction analysis

Review Oviedo vs Mallorca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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