Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oxford United vs Ipswich

Oxford United vs Ipswich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-28 20:00
Oxford United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Ipswich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
22%
X
24%
2
53%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Oxford United (Home)

Goals scored / match1.04
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Ipswich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.61
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Oxford United
LWLLW
Ipswich
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 83%
35% +1.5 52%
4% +2.5 17%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Oxford United averages 1.04 goals scored at home, while Ipswich averages 1.61 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
22%
Draw
24%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Oxford United(A) 1 - 2 Ipswich Away
Nov 2025 Oxford United 2 - 1 Ipswich Home

In the last 2 meetings, Oxford United won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Oxford United — unbeaten run (home)1
Oxford United — scoring streak (home)1
Ipswich — winless run (away)2
Ipswich — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oxford United Win (1)22%
Draw (X)24%
Ipswich Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 83%
35% +1.5 52%
4% +2.5 17%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 17%
65% -1.5 48%
96% -2.5 83%
96% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 100%

Oxford United vs Ipswich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oxford United — scored (home)1.04
Oxford United — conceded (home)1.17
Ipswich — scored (away)1.61
Ipswich — conceded (away)1.3
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Oxford United — BTTS matches (home)48%
Ipswich — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oxford United (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.8

Ipswich (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Oxford United
15 10 14 8 15
Ipswich
9 5 8 14 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Oxford United (home)

For1.4

Ipswich (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Oxford United — total shots (home)14.1
Ipswich — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

Oxford United — on target (home)4.2
Ipswich — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oxford United

Inside the box6.48
Outside the box5.46

Ipswich

Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.98

Player Shots Oxford United

C. Brannagan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Mills
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. De Keersmaecker
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Peart-Harris
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Ipswich

J. Philogene
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
G. Hirst
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Iván Azón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Clarke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Szmodics
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oxford United xG (home)1.13
Ipswich xG (away)1.71

Average Possession

39.89% Possession 56.07%

Team Comparison Oxford United vs Ipswich

69.57% Pass accuracy 80.78%
304.85 Passes per match 439.63
0.06 Goals prevented -0.01
10.98 Fouls committed 11.17
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.76 Offsides 2.04
17.04 Tackles per match 12.78

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oxford United vs Ipswich prediction analysis

Review Oxford United vs Ipswich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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