Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oxford United vs Millwall

Oxford United vs Millwall prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-01 15:00
Oxford United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Millwall
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
28%
2
46%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Oxford United (Home)

Goals scored / match1.04
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Millwall (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Oxford United
LWLLW
Millwall
LDWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 79%
35% +1.5 42%
4% +2.5 8%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Oxford United averages 1.04 goals scored at home, while Millwall averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
28%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Oxford United(A) 0 - 2 Millwall Away
Nov 2025 Oxford United 2 - 2 Millwall Draw
Jan 2025 Oxford United(A) 1 - 0 Millwall Home
Nov 2024 Oxford United 1 - 1 Millwall Draw
Aug 2019 Oxford United 2 - 2 Millwall Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Oxford United won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Oxford United — unbeaten run (home)1
Oxford United — scoring streak (home)1
Millwall — winless run (away)2
Millwall — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oxford United Win (1)26%
Draw (X)28%
Millwall Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 79%
35% +1.5 42%
4% +2.5 8%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 21%
65% -1.5 58%
96% -2.5 92%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Oxford United vs Millwall — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oxford United — scored (home)1.04
Oxford United — conceded (home)1.17
Millwall — scored (away)1.29
Millwall — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Oxford United — BTTS matches (home)48%
Millwall — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oxford United (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.8

Millwall (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Oxford United
15 10 14 8 15
Millwall
12 14 15 5 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Oxford United (home)

For1.4

Millwall (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Oxford United — total shots (home)14.1
Millwall — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Oxford United — on target (home)4.2
Millwall — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oxford United

Inside the box6.48
Outside the box5.46

Millwall

Inside the box8.81
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Oxford United

C. Brannagan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Mills
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. De Keersmaecker
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Peart-Harris
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Millwall

O. Azeez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Coburn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Ballo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Emakhu
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oxford United xG (home)1.13
Millwall xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

39.89% Possession 47.63%

Team Comparison Oxford United vs Millwall

69.57% Pass accuracy 70.42%
304.85 Passes per match 348.19
0.06 Goals prevented 0.08
10.98 Fouls committed 12.52
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
1.76 Offsides 2.22
17.04 Tackles per match 15.75

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oxford United vs Millwall prediction analysis

Review Oxford United vs Millwall with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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