Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Oxford United vs Preston

Oxford United vs Preston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-13 12:30
Oxford United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Preston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
27%
2
43%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Oxford United (Home)

Goals scored / match1.04
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Preston (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Oxford United
LWLLW
Preston
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

61% +0.5 74%
35% +1.5 35%
4% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Oxford United averages 1.04 goals scored at home, while Preston averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Oxford United(A) 3 - 1 Preston Home
Dec 2025 Oxford United 1 - 2 Preston Away
Jan 2025 Oxford United(A) 1 - 1 Preston Draw
Aug 2024 Oxford United 3 - 1 Preston Home

In the last 4 meetings, Oxford United won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Oxford United — unbeaten run (home)1
Oxford United — scoring streak (home)1
Preston — winless run (away)0
Preston — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Oxford United Win (1)30%
Draw (X)27%
Preston Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

61% +0.5 74%
35% +1.5 35%
4% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

39% -0.5 26%
65% -1.5 65%
96% -2.5 91%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Oxford United vs Preston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Oxford United — scored (home)1.04
Oxford United — conceded (home)1.17
Preston — scored (away)1.17
Preston — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Oxford United — BTTS matches (home)48%
Preston — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Oxford United (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.8

Preston (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Oxford United
15 10 14 8 15
Preston
11 14 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Oxford United (home)

For1.4

Preston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Oxford United — total shots (home)14.1
Preston — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Oxford United — on target (home)4.2
Preston — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Oxford United

Inside the box6.48
Outside the box5.46

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Oxford United

C. Brannagan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Mills
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. De Keersmaecker
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Peart-Harris
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oxford United xG (home)1.13
Preston xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

39.89% Possession 45.59%

Team Comparison Oxford United vs Preston

69.57% Pass accuracy 72.15%
304.85 Passes per match 344.41
0.06 Goals prevented 0.03
10.98 Fouls committed 10.39
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.76 Offsides 1.7
17.04 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Oxford United vs Preston prediction analysis

Review Oxford United vs Preston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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