Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Padova vs Hellas Verona

Padova vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-29 13:00
Padova
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hellas Verona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
27%
2
32%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Padova (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Padova
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 0%
26% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Padova averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Padova — unbeaten run (home)3
Padova — scoring streak (home)3

1X2 Probability model

Padova Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Hellas Verona Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 0%
26% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 100%
74% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Padova vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Padova — scored (home)1.11
Padova — conceded (home)1.16
Hellas Verona — scored (away)0
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Padova — BTTS matches (home)58%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)29%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Padova (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.3

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Padova
8 7 8 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Padova (home)

For2.2

Hellas Verona (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.36

Padova

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.60
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.32

Hellas Verona

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.76
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.96

Shots per Game

Padova — total shots (home)12.4
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Padova — on target (home)3.8
Hellas Verona — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Padova

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.24

Hellas Verona

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Padova

F. Di Mariano
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Favale
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Bortolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
Jonathan Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Padova xG (home)1.01
Hellas Verona xG (away)-

Average Possession

47.66% Possession -%

Team Comparison Padova vs Hellas Verona

77.76% Pass accuracy 0%
392.95 Passes per match -
0.03 Goals prevented -
14.32 Fouls committed -
3.55 Goalkeeper saves -
1.86 Offsides -
17.47 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Padova vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review Padova vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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