Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pafos vs Akritas

Pafos vs Akritas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Division 2025-12-05 16:00
Pafos
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Akritas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
21%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Pafos (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.72
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate33%

Akritas (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pafos
WDWLL
Akritas
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 65%
61% +1.5 35%
22% +2.5 12%
17% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Pafos averages 2 goals scored at home, while Akritas averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Pafos(A) 4 - 0 Akritas Home
Dec 2025 Pafos 4 - 0 Akritas Home

In the last 2 meetings, Pafos won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Pafos — unbeaten run (home)2
Pafos — scoring streak (home)2
Akritas — winless run (away)1
Akritas — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Pafos Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
Akritas Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 65%
61% +1.5 35%
22% +2.5 12%
17% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 35%
39% -1.5 65%
78% -2.5 88%
83% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Pafos vs Akritas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pafos — scored (home)2
Pafos — conceded (home)0.72
Akritas — scored (away)1.12
Akritas — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Pafos — BTTS matches (home)33%
Akritas — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pafos (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.1

Akritas (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pafos
10 7 12 6 7
Akritas
8 16 9 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Pafos (home)

For1.6

Akritas (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Pafos — total shots (home)13.4
Akritas — total shots (away)6.8

Shots on Target

Pafos — on target (home)4.8
Akritas — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pafos

Inside the box8.15
Outside the box4.15

Akritas

Inside the box5.38
Outside the box3.25

Player Shots Pafos

João Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Anderson Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Jajá
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho Brito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Domingos Quina
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Akritas

A. Athanasiou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Zabelin
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
I. Hadjivasilis
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Romo
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pafos xG (home)1.8
Akritas xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

55% Possession 46%

Team Comparison Pafos vs Akritas

83.81% Pass accuracy 80.5%
441.08 Passes per match 356.13
0 Goals prevented 0
14.46 Fouls committed 12.5
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 3.63
1.77 Offsides 0.75
1.64 Tackles per match 5.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pafos vs Akritas prediction analysis

Review Pafos vs Akritas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Division.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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