Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pafos vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Pafos vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Champions League 2025-08-26 19:00
Pafos
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
25%
2
46%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Pafos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate71%

FK Crvena Zvezda (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pafos
WLLDW
FK Crvena Zvezda
DLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
43% +1.5 33%
14% +2.5 33%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Pafos averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while FK Crvena Zvezda averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Pafos 1 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda Draw
Aug 2025 Pafos(A) 2 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda Home

In the last 2 meetings, Pafos won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Pafos — unbeaten run (home)3
Pafos — scoring streak (home)7
FK Crvena Zvezda — winless run (away)1
FK Crvena Zvezda — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Pafos Win (1)29%
Draw (X)25%
FK Crvena Zvezda Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
43% +1.5 33%
14% +2.5 33%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
57% -1.5 67%
86% -2.5 67%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Pafos vs FK Crvena Zvezda — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pafos — scored (home)1.71
Pafos — conceded (home)1.43
FK Crvena Zvezda — scored (away)1.67
FK Crvena Zvezda — conceded (away)0.67
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Pafos — BTTS matches (home)71%
FK Crvena Zvezda — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.555%
Under 6.545%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.510%
Under 8.590%
Over 9.510%
Under 9.590%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pafos (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against3.4

FK Crvena Zvezda (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pafos
5 8 17 17 10
FK Crvena Zvezda
8 17 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Pafos (home)

For1.8

FK Crvena Zvezda (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Pafos — total shots (home)11.2
FK Crvena Zvezda — total shots (away)12.0

Shots on Target

Pafos — on target (home)4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pafos

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box3.3

FK Crvena Zvezda

Inside the box12
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Pafos

João Correia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
David Luiz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
V. Dragomir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Oršić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Anderson Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots FK Crvena Zvezda

Bruno Duarte
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
S. Babicka
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Ivanić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
P. Olayinka
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Veljković
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pafos xG (home)0.89
FK Crvena Zvezda xG (away)0

Average Possession

39% Possession 49%

Team Comparison Pafos vs FK Crvena Zvezda

75.3% Pass accuracy 78.33%
331.4 Passes per match 365.33
-0.14 Goals prevented 0
12.4 Fouls committed 12.33
4.1 Goalkeeper saves 2.67
1.57 Offsides 3
14.6 Tackles per match 13

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pafos vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction analysis

Review Pafos vs FK Crvena Zvezda with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top