Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pafos vs IF Elfsborg

Pafos vs IF Elfsborg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-07-18 16:00
Pafos
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
90%
Confidence
High
Score
1-3
IF Elfsborg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
21%
X
15%
2
63%
Over 2.5
90%
BTTS Yes
83%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Pafos (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

IF Elfsborg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pafos
LL
IF Elfsborg
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 38%
0% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 13%
100% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 90%. Model confidence is High.

Pafos averages 2 goals scored at home, while IF Elfsborg averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
90%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
21%
Draw
15%
Away Win
63%
Over 2.5
90%
BTTS Yes
83%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2024 Pafos 2 - 5 IF Elfsborg Away
Jul 2024 Pafos(A) 0 - 3 IF Elfsborg Away

In the last 2 meetings, Pafos won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Pafos — unbeaten run (home)0
Pafos — scoring streak (home)1
IF Elfsborg — winless run (away)4
IF Elfsborg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Pafos Win (1)21%
Draw (X)15%
IF Elfsborg Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 38%
0% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 13%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
0% -1.5 62%
100% -2.5 75%
100% -3.5 87%
100% -4.5 87%

Pafos vs IF Elfsborg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pafos — scored (home)2
Pafos — conceded (home)5
IF Elfsborg — scored (away)1.63
IF Elfsborg — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals5.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes83%
No17%

Rate per Team

Pafos — BTTS matches (home)100%
IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pafos (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

IF Elfsborg (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pafos
0 14
IF Elfsborg
9 10 6 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Pafos (home)

For—

IF Elfsborg (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Pafos — total shots (home)—
IF Elfsborg — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Pafos — on target (home)—
IF Elfsborg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pafos

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5
Outside the box2.25

Player Shots Pafos

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Qasem
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Henriksson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Ouma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pafos xG (home)-
IF Elfsborg xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

-% Possession 33.8%

Team Comparison Pafos vs IF Elfsborg

0% Pass accuracy 70.38%
- Passes per match 286
- Goals prevented -0.14
- Fouls committed 12.6
- Goalkeeper saves 3.8
- Offsides 2.1
- Tackles per match 18.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pafos vs IF Elfsborg prediction analysis

Review Pafos vs IF Elfsborg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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