Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Pafos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Pafos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-07-22 17:00
Pafos
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
33%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Pafos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate71%

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pafos
WLLDW
Maccabi Tel Aviv
LDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
43% +1.5 0%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Pafos averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Pafos(A) 1 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Home
Jul 2025 Pafos 1 - 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Pafos won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Pafos — unbeaten run (home)3
Pafos — scoring streak (home)7
Maccabi Tel Aviv — winless run (away)2
Maccabi Tel Aviv — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Pafos Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
43% +1.5 0%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
57% -1.5 100%
86% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Pafos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pafos — scored (home)1.71
Pafos — conceded (home)1.43
Maccabi Tel Aviv — scored (away)1
Maccabi Tel Aviv — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Pafos — BTTS matches (home)71%
Maccabi Tel Aviv — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)85.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.540%
Under 5.560%
Over 6.530%
Under 6.570%
Over 7.530%
Under 7.570%
Over 8.510%
Under 8.590%
Over 9.510%
Under 9.590%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pafos (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against3.4

Maccabi Tel Aviv (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pafos
5 8 17 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.540%
Under 2.560%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Pafos (home)

For1.8

Maccabi Tel Aviv (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Pafos — total shots (home)11.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Pafos — on target (home)4.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pafos

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box3.3

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Pafos

João Correia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
David Luiz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
V. Dragomir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Oršić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Anderson Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Maccabi Tel Aviv

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pafos xG (home)0.89
Maccabi Tel Aviv xG (away)-

Average Possession

39% Possession -%

Team Comparison Pafos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

75.3% Pass accuracy 0%
331.4 Passes per match -
-0.14 Goals prevented -
12.4 Fouls committed -
4.1 Goalkeeper saves -
1.57 Offsides -
14.6 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pafos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction analysis

Review Pafos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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