What markets are included in the Pafos vs Villarreal prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Pafos vs Villarreal prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Pafos vs Villarreal

Pafos vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Champions League 2025-11-05 17:45

Pafos

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Villarreal

Away

Prediction Summary

58%

23%

19%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Pafos (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71

Goals conceded / match1.43

Over 2.5 rate14%

BTTS rate71%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match2.25

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Pafos

WLLDW

Villarreal

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%

43% +1.5 0%

14% +2.5 0%

14% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Pafos averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

58%

Draw

23%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Pafos 1 - 0 Villarreal Home

In the last 1 meetings, Pafos won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Pafos — unbeaten run (home)3

Pafos — scoring streak (home)7

Villarreal — winless run (away)4

Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Pafos Win (1)58%

Draw (X)23%

Villarreal Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%

43% +1.5 0%

14% +2.5 0%

14% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%

57% -1.5 100%

86% -2.5 100%

86% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Pafos vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Pafos — scored (home)1.71

Pafos — conceded (home)1.43

Villarreal — scored (away)0

Villarreal — conceded (away)2.25

Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Pafos — BTTS matches (home)71%

Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)35.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.553%

Under 5.547%

Over 6.530%

Under 6.570%

Over 7.530%

Under 7.570%

Over 8.510%

Under 8.590%

Over 9.510%

Under 9.590%

Over 10.50%

Under 10.5100%

Expected total corners (blended average)6.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Pafos (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against3.4

Villarreal (away)

Corners for2.3

Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Pafos

5 8 17 17 10

Villarreal

5 5 10 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.578%

Under 1.522%

Over 2.578%

Under 2.522%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Pafos (home)

For1.8

Villarreal (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Pafos — total shots (home)11.2

Villarreal — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Pafos — on target (home)4.2

Villarreal — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Pafos

Inside the box6.8

Outside the box3.3

Villarreal

Inside the box7.88

Outside the box5.75

Player Shots Pafos

João Correia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

David Luiz

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

V. Dragomir

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Oršić

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Anderson Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Villarreal

N. Pépé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Gueye

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

T. Oluwaseyi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

Rafa Marín

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Santi Comesaña

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pafos xG (home)0.89

Villarreal xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

39% Possession 42.25%

Team Comparison Pafos vs Villarreal

75.3% Pass accuracy 83.13%

331.4 Passes per match 394.13

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.07

12.4 Fouls committed 12.75

4.1 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.57 Offsides 1.57

14.6 Tackles per match 17.25

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Pafos vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Pafos vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights