Prediction Analysis: Palermo vs Juve Stabia
Palermo vs Juve Stabia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-08-22
13:00
Palermo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Palermo
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Juve Stabia
Away
Prediction Summary
1
60%
X
23%
2
17%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Palermo (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.6
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate30%
Juve Stabia (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.52
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate62%
Team Form last 5 matches
Palermo
WLLWD
Juve Stabia
LDWDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
71%
65%
+1.5
24%
30%
+2.5
5%
10%
+3.5
0%
10%
+4.5
0%
30%
BTTS
62%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Palermo averages 2 goals scored at home, while Juve Stabia averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
60%
Draw
23%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Palermo
2 - 2
Juve Stabia
Draw
Nov 2025
Palermo(A)
0 - 1
Juve Stabia
Away
May 2025
Palermo(A)
0 - 1
Juve Stabia
Away
Jan 2025
Palermo
1 - 0
Juve Stabia
Home
Sep 2024
Palermo(A)
3 - 1
Juve Stabia
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Palermo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Palermo — unbeaten run (home)14
Palermo — scoring streak (home)14
Juve Stabia — winless run (away)1
Juve Stabia — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Palermo Win (1)60%
Draw (X)23%
Juve Stabia Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
71%
65%
+1.5
24%
30%
+2.5
5%
10%
+3.5
0%
10%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
29%
35%
-1.5
76%
70%
-2.5
95%
90%
-3.5
100%
90%
-4.5
100%
Palermo vs Juve Stabia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Palermo — scored (home)2
Palermo — conceded (home)0.6
Juve Stabia — scored (away)1
Juve Stabia — conceded (away)1.52
Model expected combined goals2.56
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Palermo — BTTS matches (home)30%
Juve Stabia — BTTS matches (away)62%
Combined (simple average)46%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Palermo (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against4.0
Juve Stabia (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Palermo
9
7
8
8
6
Juve Stabia
15
10
6
4
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Palermo (home)
For1.9
Juve Stabia (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots24.90
Palermo
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.03
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.76
Juve Stabia
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.87
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.57
Shots per Game
Palermo — total shots (home)14.9
Juve Stabia — total shots (away)9.7
Shots on Target
Palermo — on target (home)5.2
Juve Stabia — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Palermo
Inside the box10.23
Outside the box3.98
Juve Stabia
Inside the box7.56
Outside the box4.2
Player Shots Palermo
F. Ranocchia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
P. Peda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Bani
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target10%
N. Pierozzi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots Juve Stabia
L. Candellone
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target32%
A. Gabrielloni
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Varnier
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
K. Piscopo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Mosti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo xG (home)1.65
Juve Stabia xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
48.8%
Possession
53.24%
Team Comparison Palermo vs Juve Stabia
77.4%
Pass accuracy
81.73%
365.88
Passes per match
441.15
-0.38
Goals prevented
0.16
15.3
Fouls committed
14.71
3.05
Goalkeeper saves
2.51
1.31
Offsides
1.95
13.63
Tackles per match
13.39
League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Palermo vs Juve Stabia prediction analysis
Review Palermo vs Juve Stabia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights