Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Palestino vs O'Higgins

Palestino vs O'Higgins prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-09-13 18:00
Palestino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
O'Higgins
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
26%
2
23%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Palestino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%

O'Higgins (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palestino
DWLLW
O'Higgins
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 73%
53% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Palestino averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while O'Higgins averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Palestino 1 - 2 O'Higgins Away
Apr 2025 Palestino(A) 0 - 1 O'Higgins Away

In the last 2 meetings, Palestino won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Palestino — unbeaten run (home)1
Palestino — scoring streak (home)5
O'Higgins — winless run (away)0
O'Higgins — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palestino Win (1)50%
Draw (X)26%
O'Higgins Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 73%
53% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 27%
47% -1.5 53%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Palestino vs O'Higgins — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palestino — scored (home)1.4
Palestino — conceded (home)1.07
O'Higgins — scored (away)1.47
O'Higgins — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Palestino — BTTS matches (home)60%
O'Higgins — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palestino (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.0

O'Higgins (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palestino
7 12 14 12 13
O'Higgins
10 3 13 15 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Palestino (home)

For2.3

O'Higgins (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Palestino — total shots (home)13.2
O'Higgins — total shots (away)14.8

Shots on Target

Palestino — on target (home)5.0
O'Higgins — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palestino

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box5.5

O'Higgins

Inside the box8.17
Outside the box7.13

Player Shots Palestino

J. Marabel
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
Joe Abrigo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Tapia Paez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Arias
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots O'Higgins

B. Rabello
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target30%
Francisco González
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Montecinos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Romero
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Sarrafiore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palestino xG (home)1.4
O'Higgins xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

58.73% Possession 53.43%

Team Comparison Palestino vs O'Higgins

80.2% Pass accuracy 74.5%
448.07 Passes per match 380.67
0 Goals prevented 0
10.7 Fouls committed 12.07
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.4
1.71 Offsides 1.21
14.4 Tackles per match 16.13

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palestino vs O'Higgins prediction analysis

Review Palestino vs O'Higgins with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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