Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Palestino vs Union Espanola

Palestino vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-07-27 19:00
Palestino
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Union Espanola
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
24%
2
22%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Palestino (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%

Union Espanola (Away)

Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palestino
DWLLW
Union Espanola
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 40%
53% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Palestino averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Palestino 1 - 0 Union Espanola Home
Feb 2025 Palestino(A) 3 - 0 Union Espanola Home

In the last 2 meetings, Palestino won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Palestino — unbeaten run (home)1
Palestino — scoring streak (home)5
Union Espanola — winless run (away)4
Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palestino Win (1)54%
Draw (X)24%
Union Espanola Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 40%
53% +1.5 20%
0% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 60%
47% -1.5 80%
100% -2.5 93%
100% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Palestino vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palestino — scored (home)1.4
Palestino — conceded (home)1.07
Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73
Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Palestino — BTTS matches (home)60%
Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palestino (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.0

Union Espanola (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palestino
7 12 14 12 13
Union Espanola
7 8 11 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Palestino (home)

For2.3

Union Espanola (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Palestino — total shots (home)13.2
Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Palestino — on target (home)5.0
Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palestino

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box5.5

Union Espanola

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13

Player Shots Palestino

J. Marabel
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
Joe Abrigo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Tapia Paez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Arias
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Union Espanola

P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palestino xG (home)1.4
Union Espanola xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

58.73% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison Palestino vs Union Espanola

80.2% Pass accuracy 78.9%
448.07 Passes per match 401.97
0 Goals prevented 0
10.7 Fouls committed 10.67
3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
1.71 Offsides 2.14
14.4 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palestino vs Union Espanola prediction analysis

Review Palestino vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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