What markets are included in the Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-26 23:30

Palmeiras

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

27%

23%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate37%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Palmeiras 0 - 0 Cruzeiro Draw

Jun 2025 Palmeiras(A) 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away

Dec 2024 Palmeiras(A) 2 - 1 Cruzeiro Home

Jul 2024 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

Dec 2023 Palmeiras(A) 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14

Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)50%

Draw (X)27%

Cruzeiro Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 68%

63% -2.5 89%

79% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84

Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against2.9

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro

82.21% Pass accuracy 81.05%

406.61 Passes per match 363.13

0.13 Goals prevented 0.12

14.61 Fouls committed 13.66

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.79 Offsides 1.5

16.89 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights