What markets are included in the Palmeiras vs Flamengo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Palmeiras vs Flamengo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Flamengo

Palmeiras vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-25 19:00

Palmeiras

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

19%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Flamengo

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

37%

32%

Under 2.5

81%

BTTS No

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate37%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Flamengo

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 58%

37% +2.5 21%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

37% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 19%. Model confidence is High.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

81%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

37%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

19%

BTTS Yes

28%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Palmeiras(A) 2 - 3 Flamengo Away

May 2025 Palmeiras 0 - 2 Flamengo Away

Aug 2024 Palmeiras(A) 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw

Aug 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Flamengo Home

Jul 2024 Palmeiras(A) 0 - 2 Flamengo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14

Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0

Flamengo — winless run (away)3

Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)32%

Draw (X)37%

Flamengo Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 58%

37% +2.5 21%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 21%

47% -1.5 42%

63% -2.5 79%

79% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 95%

Palmeiras vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84

Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58

Flamengo — scored (away)1.68

Flamengo — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals1.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes28%

No72%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%

Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.566%

Under 6.534%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against2.9

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3

Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2

Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49

Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Flamengo

82.21% Pass accuracy 88.34%

406.61 Passes per match 562.39

0.13 Goals prevented -0.02

14.61 Fouls committed 13.42

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.79 Offsides 1.24

16.89 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights