What markets are included in the Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Fluminense

Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-23 00:30

Palmeiras

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fluminense

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

23%

17%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate37%

Fluminense (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Fluminense

WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 37%

37% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Fluminense averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

23%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Palmeiras 0 - 0 Fluminense Draw

Jul 2025 Palmeiras(A) 2 - 1 Fluminense Home

Dec 2024 Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense Away

Jul 2024 Palmeiras(A) 0 - 1 Fluminense Away

Dec 2023 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Fluminense Home

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14

Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0

Fluminense — winless run (away)0

Fluminense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)60%

Draw (X)23%

Fluminense Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 37%

37% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 63%

63% -2.5 95%

79% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Palmeiras vs Fluminense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84

Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58

Fluminense — scored (away)1

Fluminense — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%

Fluminense — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against2.9

Fluminense (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Fluminense (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3

Fluminense — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2

Fluminense — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49

Fluminense xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 52.92%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Fluminense

82.21% Pass accuracy 84.87%

406.61 Passes per match 468.34

0.13 Goals prevented -0.1

14.61 Fouls committed 12.84

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.51

1.79 Offsides 0.94

16.89 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Fluminense prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Fluminense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights