What markets are included in the Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Gremio

Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-27 00:00

Palmeiras

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Gremio

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

26%

23%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate37%

Gremio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Gremio

WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 68%

53% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 16%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Gremio averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

26%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Palmeiras(A) 2 - 3 Gremio Away

Jul 2025 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio Home

Nov 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio Home

Jul 2024 Palmeiras(A) 2 - 2 Gremio Draw

Sep 2023 Palmeiras(A) 0 - 1 Gremio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14

Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0

Gremio — winless run (away)0

Gremio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)51%

Draw (X)26%

Gremio Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 68%

53% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 16%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 32%

47% -1.5 68%

63% -2.5 84%

79% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Palmeiras vs Gremio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84

Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58

Gremio — scored (away)1.21

Gremio — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%

Gremio — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against2.9

Gremio (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Gremio (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3

Gremio — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2

Gremio — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49

Gremio xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 45.16%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Gremio

82.21% Pass accuracy 82.32%

406.61 Passes per match 379.66

0.13 Goals prevented 0.22

14.61 Fouls committed 13.37

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.79 Offsides 1.08

16.89 Tackles per match 17.37

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Gremio prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Gremio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights