Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Juventude

Palmeiras vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-11 22:00
Palmeiras
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
76%
X
17%
2
8%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match0.58
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate37%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras
WWLDD
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
37% +2.5 5%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is High.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
76%
Draw
17%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Palmeiras(A) 2 - 0 Juventude Home
Oct 2025 Palmeiras 4 - 1 Juventude Home
Oct 2024 Palmeiras(A) 5 - 3 Juventude Home
Jun 2024 Palmeiras 3 - 1 Juventude Home
Sep 2022 Palmeiras 2 - 1 Juventude Home

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14
Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)76%
Draw (X)17%
Juventude Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
37% +2.5 5%
21% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 84%
63% -2.5 95%
79% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Palmeiras vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84
Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against2.9

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras
9 13 8 16 14
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box6.61

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
J. López
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target30%
F. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Luighi Hanri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Andreas Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Juventude

82.21% Pass accuracy 80.89%
406.61 Passes per match 339
0.13 Goals prevented -0.18
14.61 Fouls committed 15.89
2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.79 Offsides 1.86
16.89 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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