What markets are included in the Palmeiras vs Santos prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Palmeiras vs Santos prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Santos

Palmeiras vs Santos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-07 00:30

Palmeiras

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Santos

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

22%

16%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate37%

Santos (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Santos

WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 37%

37% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Santos averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

22%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Palmeiras(A) 0 - 1 Santos Away

Nov 2025 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Santos Home

Oct 2023 Palmeiras 1 - 2 Santos Away

May 2023 Palmeiras(A) 0 - 0 Santos Draw

Sep 2022 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Santos Home

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14

Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0

Santos — winless run (away)0

Santos — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)61%

Draw (X)22%

Santos Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 37%

37% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%

47% -1.5 63%

63% -2.5 89%

79% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Palmeiras vs Santos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84

Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58

Santos — scored (away)1.11

Santos — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%

Santos — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against2.9

Santos (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Santos (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3

Santos — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2

Santos — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49

Santos xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 49.68%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Santos

82.21% Pass accuracy 82.87%

406.61 Passes per match 394.58

0.13 Goals prevented -0.02

14.61 Fouls committed 13.74

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.42

1.79 Offsides 1.68

16.89 Tackles per match 17.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Santos prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Santos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights