What markets are included in the Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-01 22:00

Palmeiras

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

24%

26%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Palmeiras (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate37%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 21%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Palmeiras averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

24%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Palmeiras 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

May 2025 Palmeiras(A) 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Sep 2024 Palmeiras(A) 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Jun 2024 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Aug 2023 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

In the last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Palmeiras — unbeaten run (home)14

Palmeiras — scoring streak (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4

Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Palmeiras Win (1)50%

Draw (X)24%

Vasco DA Gama Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

37% +2.5 21%

21% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 68%

63% -2.5 79%

79% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 95%

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Palmeiras — scored (home)1.84

Palmeiras — conceded (home)0.58

Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (home)37%

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%

Under 4.513%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.569%

Under 6.531%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Palmeiras (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against2.9

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Palmeiras (home)

For1.8

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Palmeiras — total shots (home)17.3

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Palmeiras — on target (home)6.2

Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Palmeiras xG (home)1.49

Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

52.34% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama

82.21% Pass accuracy 86.47%

406.61 Passes per match 481

0.13 Goals prevented -0.15

14.61 Fouls committed 13.18

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.79 Offsides 0.81

16.89 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights