Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: PAOK vs FCSB

PAOK vs FCSB prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-03 19:00
PAOK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
FCSB
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
21%
2
16%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

PAOK (Home)

Goals scored / match2.33
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%

FCSB (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

PAOK
LLLWW
FCSB
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 57%
67% +1.5 29%
33% +2.5 14%
33% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

PAOK averages 2.33 goals scored at home, while FCSB averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
21%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 3

Feb 2025 PAOK(A) 0 - 2 FCSB Away
Feb 2025 PAOK 1 - 2 FCSB Away
Oct 2024 PAOK 0 - 1 FCSB Away

In the last 3 meetings, PAOK won 0, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

PAOK — unbeaten run (home)0
PAOK — scoring streak (home)4
FCSB — winless run (away)1
FCSB — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

PAOK Win (1)63%
Draw (X)21%
FCSB Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 57%
67% +1.5 29%
33% +2.5 14%
33% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 43%
33% -1.5 71%
67% -2.5 86%
67% -3.5 100%
83% -4.5 100%

PAOK vs FCSB — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

PAOK — scored (home)2.33
PAOK — conceded (home)0.83
FCSB — scored (away)1
FCSB — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

PAOK — BTTS matches (home)33%
FCSB — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.562%
Under 4.538%
Over 5.554%
Under 5.546%
Over 6.540%
Under 6.560%
Over 7.540%
Under 7.560%
Over 8.531%
Under 8.569%
Over 9.531%
Under 9.569%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

PAOK (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against1.8

FCSB (away)

Corners for2.2
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

PAOK
5 10 8 3 12
FCSB
9 3 12 11 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3

Yellow Cards per Team

PAOK (home)

For1.7

FCSB (away)

For4.5

Shots per Game

PAOK — total shots (home)15.8
FCSB — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

PAOK — on target (home)6.0
FCSB — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

PAOK

Inside the box9.1
Outside the box3.9

FCSB

Inside the box6.33
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots PAOK

T. Bakayoko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
F. Chalov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Živković
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
G. Konstantelias
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
S. Schwab
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots FCSB

D. Olaru
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Cisotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Ștefănescu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Șut
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Miculescu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

PAOK xG (home)1.51
FCSB xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

52.55% Possession 42.15%

Team Comparison PAOK vs FCSB

82.7% Pass accuracy 76.58%
477.5 Passes per match 364.67
0.02 Goals prevented -0.25
10.18 Fouls committed 14.62
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.73 Offsides 2.08
16.7 Tackles per match 19.83

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

PAOK vs FCSB prediction analysis

Review PAOK vs FCSB with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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