What markets are included in the Paris FC vs Lyon prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Paris FC vs Lyon prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Paris FC vs Lyon

Paris FC vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-12 15:00

Paris FC

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lyon

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

25%

38%

+2.5 Goals

56%

BTTS

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Paris FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate53%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris FC

WLWLW

Lyon

LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%

53% +1.5 35%

29% +2.5 18%

12% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris FC averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

25%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Paris FC(A) 1 - 1 Lyon Draw

Oct 2025 Paris FC 3 - 3 Lyon Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Paris FC — unbeaten run (home)2

Paris FC — scoring streak (home)2

Lyon — winless run (away)1

Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris FC Win (1)38%

Draw (X)25%

Lyon Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%

53% +1.5 35%

29% +2.5 18%

12% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%

47% -1.5 65%

71% -2.5 82%

88% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 94%

Paris FC vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris FC — scored (home)1.65

Paris FC — conceded (home)1.59

Lyon — scored (away)1.35

Lyon — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Paris FC — BTTS matches (home)53%

Lyon — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris FC (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.4

Lyon (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris FC

11 10 10 10 6

Lyon

18 9 12 15 28

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris FC (home)

For2.4

Lyon (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%

Under 19.529%

Over 22.557%

Under 22.543%

Over 25.544%

Under 25.556%

Expected total shots24.97

Paris FC

Shots Over 9.575%

Shots Over 11.561%

Shots Over 13.545%

Expected shots13.42

On Target Over 3.565%

On Target Over 4.548%

On Target Over 5.534%

Expected on target4.70

Lyon

Shots Over 9.563%

Shots Over 11.546%

Shots Over 13.531%

Expected shots11.55

On Target Over 3.556%

On Target Over 4.539%

On Target Over 5.526%

Expected on target4.14

Shots per Game

Paris FC — total shots (home)13.5

Lyon — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Paris FC — on target (home)4.5

Lyon — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris FC

Inside the box7.79

Outside the box3.88

Lyon

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Paris FC

I. Kebbal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

L. Koleosho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target19%

M. Munetsi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target7%

R. Matondo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Immobile

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Lyon

Endrick

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target44%

C. Tolisso

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Šulc

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target19%

M. Satriano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris FC xG (home)1.32

Lyon xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

50.38% Possession 54.62%

Team Comparison Paris FC vs Lyon

84.03% Pass accuracy 84.71%

467.88 Passes per match 466.88

0 Goals prevented 0.12

10.65 Fouls committed 13

2.56 Goalkeeper saves 2.76

2.21 Offsides 1.4

15.68 Tackles per match 14.59

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris FC vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Paris FC vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights