Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Paris FC vs Nice

Paris FC vs Nice prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Ligue 1 2026-08-29 15:00
Paris FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nice
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
24%
2
29%
+2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Paris FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%

Nice (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris FC
WLWLW
Nice
WDDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 22%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris FC averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Nice averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Paris FC 1 - 0 Nice Home
Sep 2025 Paris FC(A) 1 - 1 Nice Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Paris FC — unbeaten run (home)2
Paris FC — scoring streak (home)2
Nice — winless run (away)5
Nice — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris FC Win (1)48%
Draw (X)24%
Nice Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 22%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%
47% -1.5 78%
71% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Paris FC vs Nice — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris FC — scored (home)1.65
Paris FC — conceded (home)1.59
Nice — scored (away)1
Nice — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Paris FC — BTTS matches (home)53%
Nice — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris FC (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.4

Nice (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris FC
11 10 10 10 6
Nice
15 11 14 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris FC (home)

For2.4

Nice (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.13

Paris FC

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.88
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.77

Nice

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.25
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.90

Shots per Game

Paris FC — total shots (home)13.5
Nice — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Paris FC — on target (home)4.5
Nice — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris FC

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box3.88

Nice

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Paris FC

I. Kebbal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Koleosho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Matondo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Immobile
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Nice

E. Wahi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
T. Moffi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cho
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target3%
I. Jansson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris FC xG (home)1.32
Nice xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

50.38% Possession 46.69%

Team Comparison Paris FC vs Nice

84.03% Pass accuracy 81.86%
467.88 Passes per match 418.14
0 Goals prevented -0.02
10.65 Fouls committed 12.14
2.56 Goalkeeper saves 3.31
2.21 Offsides 2
15.68 Tackles per match 15.83

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris FC vs Nice prediction analysis

Review Paris FC vs Nice with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top