Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Angers

Paris Saint Germain vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-05 15:00
Paris Saint Germain
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Angers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
20%
2
15%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.65
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate59%
BTTS rate76%

Angers (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain
WWLLD
Angers
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 59%
71% +1.5 12%
59% +2.5 12%
24% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.65 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
20%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Paris Saint Germain(A) 3 - 0 Angers Home
Aug 2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Angers Home
Apr 2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Angers Home
Nov 2024 Paris Saint Germain(A) 4 - 2 Angers Home
Apr 2023 Paris Saint Germain(A) 2 - 1 Angers Home

In the last 5 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)1
Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)17
Angers — winless run (away)1
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)64%
Draw (X)20%
Angers Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 59%
71% +1.5 12%
59% +2.5 12%
24% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 41%
29% -1.5 88%
41% -2.5 88%
76% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.65
Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)0.94
Angers — scored (away)0.82
Angers — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)76%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for7.1
Corners against2.7

Angers (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain
8 17 8 9 7
Angers
6 9 10 8 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For1.3

Angers (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)20.8
Angers — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)8.7
Angers — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box12.94
Outside the box5.74

Angers

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box3.35

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

Gonçalo Ramos
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target50%
O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target48%
Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
K. Kvaratskhelia
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Angers

E. Biumla
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Niane
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
J. Allevinah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
H. Abdelli
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)2.64
Angers xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

68.41% Possession 40.82%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Angers

91.03% Pass accuracy 80.79%
719 Passes per match 371.65
0.28 Goals prevented 0.14
9.03 Fouls committed 11.18
2.09 Goalkeeper saves 4.06
1.59 Offsides 2.3
18.21 Tackles per match 18.35

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Angers prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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