What markets are included in the Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta

Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-09-17 19:00

Paris Saint Germain

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

70%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Atalanta

Away

Prediction Summary

62%

19%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.89

Goals conceded / match1.67

Over 2.5 rate44%

BTTS rate78%

Atalanta (Away)

Goals scored / match0.83

Goals conceded / match1.83

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate17%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain

DDWWW

Atalanta

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 50%

67% +1.5 17%

44% +2.5 17%

44% +3.5 0%

33% +4.5 0%

78% BTTS 17%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.89 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 0.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

62%

Draw

19%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 0 Atalanta Home

Aug 2020 Paris Saint Germain(A) 2 - 1 Atalanta Home

In the last 2 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)7

Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)9

Atalanta — winless run (away)3

Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)62%

Draw (X)19%

Atalanta Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 50%

67% +1.5 17%

44% +2.5 17%

44% +3.5 0%

33% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 50%

33% -1.5 83%

56% -2.5 83%

56% -3.5 100%

67% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.89

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)1.67

Atalanta — scored (away)0.83

Atalanta — conceded (away)1.83

Model expected combined goals3.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)78%

Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)17%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.581%

Under 5.519%

Over 6.567%

Under 6.533%

Over 7.547%

Under 7.553%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.531%

Under 9.569%

Over 10.520%

Under 10.580%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.7

Atalanta (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain

4 10 7 9 14

Atalanta

6 5 6 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%

Under 0.516%

Over 1.553%

Under 1.547%

Over 2.547%

Under 2.553%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For0.9

Atalanta (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)18.7

Atalanta — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)7.1

Atalanta — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.24

Outside the box7.53

Atalanta

Inside the box9.58

Outside the box4.25

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target38%

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target31%

Vitinha

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

Fabián Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

M. Pašalić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

C. De Ketelaere

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Scamacca

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

L. Samardžić

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)1.97

Atalanta xG (away)1.84

Average Possession

63.65% Possession 48.5%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta

88.12% Pass accuracy 83%

629.18 Passes per match 460.75

-0.19 Goals prevented 0.04

9.06 Fouls committed 10.08

2.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.33

1.71 Offsides 2.75

16.88 Tackles per match 13.33

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights