Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Inter

Paris Saint Germain vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-05-31 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Inter
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
25%
2
28%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.67
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate56%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain
WWWLW
Inter
LWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
56% +1.5 38%
44% +2.5 13%
33% +3.5 0%
22% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 1

May 2025 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 0 Inter Home

In the last 1 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)3
Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)3
Inter — winless run (away)2
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Inter Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
56% +1.5 38%
44% +2.5 13%
33% +3.5 0%
22% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
44% -1.5 62%
56% -2.5 87%
67% -3.5 100%
78% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.67
Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)0.89
Inter — scored (away)1.13
Inter — conceded (away)1.25
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)56%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)40.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for7.7
Corners against3.3

Inter (away)

Corners for2.6
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain
10 10 4 8 10
Inter
6 11 9 12 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.560%
Under 2.540%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For0.9

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)23.3
Inter — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)8.2
Inter — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box12.71
Outside the box6.18

Inter

Inside the box8.4
Outside the box3.73

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target53%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target31%
Gonçalo Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Kvaratskhelia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Hakimi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%

Player Shots Inter

N. Barella
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Darmian
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)2.13
Inter xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

61.65% Possession 46.73%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Inter

88.18% Pass accuracy 83.6%
625.88 Passes per match 469.47
0.19 Goals prevented -0.24
9.12 Fouls committed 9.53
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.73
1.59 Offsides 2.8
19.65 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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