Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans

Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-10-10 15:00
Paris Saint Germain
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Le Mans
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
+2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate35%

Le Mans (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%
71% +1.5 0%
47% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Le Mans averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)3
Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)17

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Le Mans Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%
71% +1.5 0%
47% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%
29% -1.5 100%
53% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.41
Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)0.71
Le Mans — scored (away)0
Le Mans — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)35%
Le Mans — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)17.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for7.5
Corners against2.7

Le Mans (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain
9 14 15 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.544%
Under 0.556%
Over 1.536%
Under 1.564%
Over 2.530%
Under 2.570%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For1.4

Le Mans (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.85

Paris Saint Germain

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.72
On Target Over 3.576%
On Target Over 4.562%
On Target Over 5.548%
Expected on target5.71

Le Mans

Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.12
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.70

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)20.2
Le Mans — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)7.0
Le Mans — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.18
Outside the box6.53

Le Mans

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

B. Barcola
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target31%
K. Kvaratskhelia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target29%
Gonçalo Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Le Mans

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)2.12
Le Mans xG (away)-

Average Possession

68.79% Possession -%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans

91.06% Pass accuracy 0%
723.03 Passes per match -
-0.17 Goals prevented -
9.18 Fouls committed -
2.26 Goalkeeper saves -
1.4 Offsides -
14.88 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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