What markets are included in the Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool

Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-03-05 20:00

Paris Saint Germain

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Liverpool

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

22%

28%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.67

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate44%

BTTS rate56%

Liverpool (Away)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match0.8

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLW

Liverpool

LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 100%

56% +1.5 40%

44% +2.5 20%

33% +3.5 0%

22% +4.5 0%

56% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while Liverpool averages 1.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

22%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Paris Saint Germain(A) 2 - 0 Liverpool Home

Apr 2026 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Liverpool Home

Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain(A) 1 - 0 Liverpool Home

Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 1 Liverpool Away

In the last 4 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)3

Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)3

Liverpool — winless run (away)0

Liverpool — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)50%

Draw (X)22%

Liverpool Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 100%

56% +1.5 40%

44% +2.5 20%

33% +3.5 0%

22% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 0%

44% -1.5 60%

56% -2.5 80%

67% -3.5 100%

78% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.67

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)0.89

Liverpool — scored (away)1.6

Liverpool — conceded (away)0.8

Model expected combined goals3.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)56%

Liverpool — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.568%

Under 9.532%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for7.7

Corners against3.3

Liverpool (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain

Liverpool

13 6 10 16 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.562%

Under 2.538%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For0.9

Liverpool (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)23.3

Liverpool — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)8.2

Liverpool — on target (away)6.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box12.71

Outside the box6.18

Liverpool

Inside the box10.4

Outside the box4.2

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target87%

+1.5 On Target53%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

Gonçalo Ramos

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target17%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Hakimi

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target24%

Player Shots Liverpool

D. Szoboszlai

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

F. Chiesa

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target67%

T. Alexander-Arnold

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Núñez

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)2.13

Liverpool xG (away)2.1

Average Possession

61.65% Possession 50.9%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool

88.18% Pass accuracy 85.4%

625.88 Passes per match 508

0.19 Goals prevented 0.32

9.12 Fouls committed 10.6

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.8

1.59 Offsides 1.4

19.65 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights