What markets are included in the Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-05 15:00

Paris Saint Germain

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Monaco

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

21%

20%

+2.5 Goals

63%

BTTS

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate47%

BTTS rate35%

Monaco (Away)

Goals scored / match1.59

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDW

Monaco

LLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 71%

71% +1.5 47%

47% +2.5 24%

12% +3.5 12%

12% +4.5 6%

35% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Monaco averages 1.59 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

21%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 Monaco Away

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Monaco Draw

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain(A) 3 - 2 Monaco Home

Nov 2025 Paris Saint Germain(A) 0 - 1 Monaco Away

Feb 2025 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 1 Monaco Home

In the last 5 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)3

Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)17

Monaco — winless run (away)1

Monaco — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)60%

Draw (X)21%

Monaco Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 71%

71% +1.5 47%

47% +2.5 24%

12% +3.5 12%

12% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 29%

29% -1.5 53%

53% -2.5 76%

88% -3.5 88%

88% -4.5 94%

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.41

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)0.71

Monaco — scored (away)1.59

Monaco — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals3.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)35%

Monaco — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for7.5

Corners against2.7

Monaco (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain

9 14 15 9 6

Monaco

14 6 14 7 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For1.4

Monaco (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%

Under 19.524%

Over 22.564%

Under 22.536%

Over 25.550%

Under 25.550%

Expected total shots26.53

Paris Saint Germain

Shots Over 9.585%

Shots Over 11.574%

Shots Over 13.560%

Expected shots15.64

On Target Over 3.575%

On Target Over 4.561%

On Target Over 5.547%

Expected on target5.58

Monaco

Shots Over 9.558%

Shots Over 11.541%

Shots Over 13.526%

Expected shots10.89

On Target Over 3.554%

On Target Over 4.537%

On Target Over 5.524%

Expected on target4.02

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)20.2

Monaco — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)7.0

Monaco — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.18

Outside the box6.53

Monaco

Inside the box9.18

Outside the box3.35

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

B. Barcola

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target31%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

Gonçalo Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target22%

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Monaco

F. Balogun

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

Ansu Fati

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target28%

A. Golovin

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Akliouche

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

P. Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)2.12

Monaco xG (away)1.7

Average Possession

68.79% Possession 53.79%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco

91.06% Pass accuracy 83.32%

723.03 Passes per match 480.44

-0.17 Goals prevented -0.11

9.18 Fouls committed 12.97

2.26 Goalkeeper saves 2.76

1.4 Offsides 2.43

14.88 Tackles per match 17.53

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights