What markets are included in the Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2026-08-22 15:00

Paris Saint Germain

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

66%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Rennes

Away

Prediction Summary

59%

20%

+2.5 Goals

66%

BTTS

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate47%

BTTS rate35%

Rennes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71

Goals conceded / match1.94

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDW

Rennes

LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 82%

71% +1.5 53%

47% +2.5 24%

12% +3.5 12%

12% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

59%

Draw

20%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain(A) 1 - 3 Rennes Away

Dec 2025 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 0 Rennes Home

Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain(A) 4 - 1 Rennes Home

Sep 2024 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Rennes Home

Feb 2024 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 1 Rennes Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)3

Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)17

Rennes — winless run (away)2

Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)59%

Draw (X)20%

Rennes Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 82%

71% +1.5 53%

47% +2.5 24%

12% +3.5 12%

12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 18%

29% -1.5 47%

53% -2.5 76%

88% -3.5 88%

88% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.41

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)0.71

Rennes — scored (away)1.71

Rennes — conceded (away)1.94

Model expected combined goals3.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)35%

Rennes — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for7.5

Corners against2.7

Rennes (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain

9 14 15 9 6

Rennes

11 14 12 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%

Under 0.59%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For1.4

Rennes (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%

Under 19.525%

Over 22.563%

Under 22.537%

Over 25.549%

Under 25.551%

Expected total shots26.23

Paris Saint Germain

Shots Over 9.585%

Shots Over 11.574%

Shots Over 13.560%

Expected shots15.63

On Target Over 3.576%

On Target Over 4.562%

On Target Over 5.548%

Expected on target5.70

Rennes

Shots Over 9.556%

Shots Over 11.538%

Shots Over 13.524%

Expected shots10.60

On Target Over 3.553%

On Target Over 4.536%

On Target Over 5.523%

Expected on target3.95

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)20.2

Rennes — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)7.0

Rennes — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.18

Outside the box6.53

Rennes

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box5.35

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

B. Barcola

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target31%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

Gonçalo Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target22%

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Rennes

E. Lepaul

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target34%

Mousa Tamari

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target18%

B. Embolo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

L. Blas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)2.12

Rennes xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

68.79% Possession 53.5%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes

91.06% Pass accuracy 84.18%

723.03 Passes per match 477

-0.17 Goals prevented -0.01

9.18 Fouls committed 12.38

2.26 Goalkeeper saves 2.88

1.4 Offsides 2.41

14.88 Tackles per match 16.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights