Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham

Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-26 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
81%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Tottenham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
18%
2
25%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS Yes
76%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Paris Saint Germain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.89
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate78%

Tottenham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match2.4
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain
DDWWW
Tottenham
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 80%
67% +1.5 80%
44% +2.5 20%
44% +3.5 0%
33% +4.5 0%
78% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 81%. Model confidence is High.

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.89 goals scored at home, while Tottenham averages 1.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
81%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
18%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS Yes
76%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 3 Tottenham Home

In the last 1 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Paris Saint Germain — unbeaten run (home)7
Paris Saint Germain — scoring streak (home)9
Tottenham — winless run (away)1
Tottenham — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Paris Saint Germain Win (1)57%
Draw (X)18%
Tottenham Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 80%
67% +1.5 80%
44% +2.5 20%
44% +3.5 0%
33% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 20%
33% -1.5 20%
56% -2.5 80%
56% -3.5 100%
67% -4.5 100%

Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Paris Saint Germain — scored (home)2.89
Paris Saint Germain — conceded (home)1.67
Tottenham — scored (away)1.8
Tottenham — conceded (away)2.4
Model expected combined goals4.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes76%
No24%

Rate per Team

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (home)78%
Tottenham — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.552%
Under 7.548%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.511%
Under 10.589%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Paris Saint Germain (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against2.7

Tottenham (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Paris Saint Germain
4 10 7 9 14
Tottenham
11 6 5 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.558%
Under 1.542%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Paris Saint Germain (home)

For0.9

Tottenham (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (home)18.7
Tottenham — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Paris Saint Germain — on target (home)7.1
Tottenham — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.24
Outside the box7.53

Tottenham

Inside the box9.2
Outside the box3.7

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

K. Kvaratskhelia
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target31%
Vitinha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
Fabián Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Tottenham

M. Tel
Shots on Target/Game2.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
D. Solanke
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target33%
Richarlison
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Kolo Muani
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Kudus
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris Saint Germain xG (home)1.97
Tottenham xG (away)1.78

Average Possession

63.65% Possession 49.9%

Team Comparison Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham

88.12% Pass accuracy 83.8%
629.18 Passes per match 432.3
-0.19 Goals prevented -0.32
9.06 Fouls committed 10.9
2.41 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.71 Offsides 1.1
16.88 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham prediction analysis

Review Paris Saint Germain vs Tottenham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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