What markets are included in the Parma vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Parma vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs AC Milan

Parma vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-08 19:45

Parma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

29%

Confidence

High

Score

0-1

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

14%

28%

57%

Under 2.5

71%

BTTS No

70%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate47%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma

WLLLW

AC Milan

LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%

21% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Parma averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

14%

Draw

28%

Away Win

57%

Over 2.5

29%

BTTS Yes

30%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Parma(A) 1 - 0 AC Milan Home

Nov 2025 Parma 2 - 2 AC Milan Draw

Jan 2025 Parma(A) 2 - 3 AC Milan Away

Aug 2024 Parma 2 - 1 AC Milan Home

Apr 2021 Parma 1 - 3 AC Milan Away

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1

Parma — scoring streak (home)4

AC Milan — winless run (away)0

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)14%

Draw (X)28%

AC Milan Win (2)57%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%

21% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%

79% -1.5 53%

100% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)0.84

Parma — conceded (home)1.32

AC Milan — scored (away)1.47

AC Milan — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals1.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%

No70%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)47%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%

Under 4.513%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.556%

Under 7.544%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.0

AC Milan (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma

11 11 9 17 2

AC Milan

4 5 4 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For1.8

AC Milan (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)12.4

AC Milan — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)2.9

AC Milan — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box4.74

AC Milan

Inside the box9.16

Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Gabriel Strefezza

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

P. Cutrone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target6%

Adrián Bernabé

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots AC Milan

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

S. Giménez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target0%

C. Nkunku

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)0.84

AC Milan xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

44% Possession 51.84%

Team Comparison Parma vs AC Milan

79.66% Pass accuracy 86.74%

361.58 Passes per match 483.74

0.07 Goals prevented 0.2

10.87 Fouls committed 10.11

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

1.35 Offsides 1.92

13.92 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Parma vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights