Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Bologna

Parma vs Bologna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-02 17:00
Parma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-0
Bologna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
31%
2
34%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Bologna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma
WLLLW
Bologna
DWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 84%
21% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Parma averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Bologna averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
31%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Parma(A) 1 - 0 Bologna Home
Dec 2025 Parma(A) 1 - 2 Bologna Away
Nov 2025 Parma 1 - 3 Bologna Away
Feb 2025 Parma 2 - 0 Bologna Home
Oct 2024 Parma(A) 0 - 0 Bologna Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1
Parma — scoring streak (home)4
Bologna — winless run (away)0
Bologna — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)34%
Draw (X)31%
Bologna Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 84%
21% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 16%
79% -1.5 47%
100% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Bologna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)0.84
Parma — conceded (home)1.32
Bologna — scored (away)1.58
Bologna — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals1.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)47%
Bologna — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.0

Bologna (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma
11 11 9 17 2
Bologna
14 9 8 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For1.8

Bologna (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)12.4
Bologna — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)2.9
Bologna — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.74

Bologna

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gabriel Strefezza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%
Adrián Bernabé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Bologna

R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Rowe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)0.84
Bologna xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

44% Possession 55.05%

Team Comparison Parma vs Bologna

79.66% Pass accuracy 82.39%
361.58 Passes per match 443.82
0.07 Goals prevented 0.07
10.87 Fouls committed 13.16
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.42
1.35 Offsides 1.97
13.92 Tackles per match 14.24

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Bologna prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Bologna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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