What markets are included in the Parma vs Cagliari prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Parma vs Cagliari prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Cagliari

Parma vs Cagliari prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-09-30 18:45

Parma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Cagliari

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

25%

30%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate68%

Cagliari (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma

WDLLD

Cagliari

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Parma averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Cagliari averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

25%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Parma 1 - 1 Cagliari Draw

Sep 2025 Parma(A) 0 - 2 Cagliari Away

Feb 2025 Parma(A) 1 - 2 Cagliari Away

Sep 2024 Parma 2 - 3 Cagliari Away

Jun 2023 Parma 0 - 0 Cagliari Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1

Parma — scoring streak (home)0

Cagliari — winless run (away)2

Cagliari — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)45%

Draw (X)25%

Cagliari Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 42%

53% -1.5 79%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Cagliari — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)1.32

Parma — conceded (home)1.47

Cagliari — scored (away)0.84

Cagliari — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)68%

Cagliari — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.4

Cagliari (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma

6 10 4 5 11

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For2.1

Cagliari (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)11.6

Cagliari — total shots (away)8.7

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)4.1

Cagliari — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box6.61

Outside the box4.58

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Camara

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target5%

S. Sohm

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)1.18

Cagliari xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

44.13% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison Parma vs Cagliari

79.68% Pass accuracy 78.68%

383 Passes per match 370.08

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.03

10.66 Fouls committed 13.16

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 2.61

0.82 Offsides 1.76

13.76 Tackles per match 14.18

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Cagliari prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Cagliari with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights