What markets are included in the Parma vs Fiorentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Parma vs Fiorentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Fiorentina

Parma vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-27 11:30

Parma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fiorentina

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

29%

31%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate47%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma

WLLLW

Fiorentina

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%

21% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Parma averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

29%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Parma(A) 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw

Dec 2025 Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina Home

Apr 2025 Parma(A) 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw

Aug 2024 Parma 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw

Dec 2023 Parma(A) 2 - 2 Fiorentina Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1

Parma — scoring streak (home)4

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0

Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)40%

Draw (X)29%

Fiorentina Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%

21% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%

79% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)0.84

Parma — conceded (home)1.32

Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05

Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)47%

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%

Under 4.513%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.519%

Under 10.581%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.0

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma

11 11 9 17 2

Fiorentina

11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For1.8

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)12.4

Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)2.9

Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box4.74

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Gabriel Strefezza

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

P. Cutrone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target6%

Adrián Bernabé

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Parisi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)0.84

Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

44% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Parma vs Fiorentina

79.66% Pass accuracy 83.89%

361.58 Passes per match 423.61

0.07 Goals prevented 0.06

10.87 Fouls committed 12.5

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.34

1.35 Offsides 1.94

13.92 Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights