What markets are included in the Parma vs Genoa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Parma vs Genoa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Genoa

Parma vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-11-04 17:30

Parma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Genoa

Away

Prediction Summary

58%

21%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate68%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma

WDLLD

Genoa

WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Parma averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

58%

Draw

21%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Parma 0 - 0 Genoa Draw

Oct 2025 Parma(A) 0 - 0 Genoa Draw

Jan 2025 Parma(A) 0 - 1 Genoa Away

Nov 2024 Parma 0 - 1 Genoa Away

Feb 2023 Parma 2 - 0 Genoa Home

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1

Parma — scoring streak (home)0

Genoa — winless run (away)0

Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)58%

Draw (X)21%

Genoa Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 42%

53% -1.5 79%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Parma vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)1.32

Parma — conceded (home)1.47

Genoa — scored (away)0.84

Genoa — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)68%

Genoa — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.4

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma

6 10 4 5 11

Genoa

9 15 8 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For2.1

Genoa (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)11.6

Genoa — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)4.1

Genoa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box6.61

Outside the box4.58

Genoa

Inside the box6.74

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Camara

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target5%

S. Sohm

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. De Winter

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Miretti

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Ekuban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Venturino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)1.18

Genoa xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

44.13% Possession 45.61%

Team Comparison Parma vs Genoa

79.68% Pass accuracy 78.32%

383 Passes per match 372.39

-0.14 Goals prevented 0.1

10.66 Fouls committed 13.08

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.14

0.82 Offsides 1.53

13.76 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights