Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Parma vs Inter

Parma vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-07 19:45
Parma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Inter
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
26%
2
50%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Parma (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Parma
WLLLW
Inter
DDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 95%
21% +1.5 68%
0% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Parma averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
26%
Away Win
50%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Parma(A) 0 - 2 Inter Away
Jan 2026 Parma 0 - 2 Inter Away
Apr 2025 Parma 2 - 2 Inter Draw
Dec 2024 Parma(A) 1 - 3 Inter Away
Jan 2023 Parma(A) 1 - 2 Inter Away

In the last 5 meetings, Parma won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Parma — unbeaten run (home)1
Parma — scoring streak (home)4
Inter — winless run (away)1
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Parma Win (1)24%
Draw (X)26%
Inter Win (2)50%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 95%
21% +1.5 68%
0% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 5%
79% -1.5 32%
100% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 95%

Parma vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Parma — scored (home)0.84
Parma — conceded (home)1.32
Inter — scored (away)2.05
Inter — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Parma — BTTS matches (home)47%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Parma (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.0

Inter (away)

Corners for5.3
Corners against2.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Parma
11 11 9 17 2
Inter
10 11 6 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Parma (home)

For1.8

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Parma — total shots (home)12.4
Inter — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

Parma — on target (home)2.9
Inter — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Parma

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.74

Inter

Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gabriel Strefezza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%
Adrián Bernabé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma xG (home)0.84
Inter xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

44% Possession 59.76%

Team Comparison Parma vs Inter

79.66% Pass accuracy 87.37%
361.58 Passes per match 547.45
0.07 Goals prevented -0.25
10.87 Fouls committed 13.13
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.03
1.35 Offsides 1.65
13.92 Tackles per match 15.16

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Parma vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Parma vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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